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China Sea Disaster of 1997 and 1998 waves waves disaster prediction


5. U4 (13o3CSo7.05.o6.o6080 delicate in the South China Sea GGGDGDTTTGDGT * G as the cold wave; D cyclone waves for Taiwan M31998} T wave forecasts China Sea China Sea for many years based on a wave of historical data and the Northwest Pacific subtropical high area index, the Deputy high ridge westward location of years of historical data statistical analysis. that our coastal waters disastrous waves occur days of the subtropical high intensity and l the position change of a promise rich samples: China Sea 1997 sea disaster sub-fold and 1998 sea disaster prediction has close relationship 6l. wave disaster occurred in 1998 is still in the declining days of cycle and based on forecast 1998 growth anomalies of the subtropical high area index significantly. predict 4m above the sea in China in 1998 the disastrous waves than in previous years will remain below normal, at about 230d , of which 1 to 5 months and n ~ l2 months of cold and temperate cyclones caused more than 4m the number of days of severe waves of about 185d, 1997, less than the 233d, the typhoon caused by the disaster is greater than 4m the number of days the waves about 45d. less than 1997 53d. 1998 �� disastrous typhoon waves mainly in the South China Sea, East China Sea, Taiwan Strait less, the Yellow Sea and Bohai Sea will have no effect of storm waves. Figure a high area index of anomaly and the China Sea �� 4m waves occur days open differential secured Figure 26 ~ 10 months of the subtropical high extends westward cream point and the China Sea �� 4n: the difference between the days of occurrence of storm waves around,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Department of Oceanography 18 4 Conclusion a) typhoon waves there the number of days with significant interannual variation, up to the year 1971 as the 94d, 1978 year 113d, 1986 year 115d,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], 1989 year 123d, 1991 year 101d; at least the year 1972 32d,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], 1975 �� 36d, 1983 years 39d, 1988 years 39d.1993 and 1997 53d. b) greater than or equal to 4m China Sea,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], the disastrous days of occurrence of waves and the subtropical high area index anomalies more closely on the relationship between the anti-phase fundamental changes were . c) China Sea too than or equal to 4m of typhoon waves occur days of the subtropical high extends westward ridge positions are more closely related to the fundamental were the same phase change in this article courtesy of the coastal provinces,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], municipalities and flood control department of great help, providing a large number of disaster survey data, to express gratitude wrapped 0.
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